{"id":2174,"date":"2024-02-26T13:21:49","date_gmt":"2024-02-26T06:21:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/phongchongthientaitiengiang.vn\/?p=2174"},"modified":"2024-02-26T13:21:49","modified_gmt":"2024-02-26T06:21:49","slug":"hien-tuong-el-nino-da-xuat-hien-hau-qua-gi-phia-truoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/phongchongthientaitiengiang.vn\/?p=2174","title":{"rendered":"Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n: H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 g\u00ec ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc?"},"content":{"rendered":"

El Nino – d\u1eabn t\u1edbi nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t n\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ec3n n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u1edf trung t\u00e2m v\u00e0 ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea1o – \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1i C\u01a1 quan Kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 (NOAA) th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ki\u1ec3u\u00a0th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft\u00a0n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u0103m 2018-2019 v\u00e0 di\u1ec5n ra trung b\u00ecnh 2-7 n\u0103m m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n.<\/span><\/p>\n

El Nino t\u00e1i xu\u1ea5t nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/span><\/h2>\n

“T\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9, El Nino c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng, nh\u01b0 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 m\u01b0a l\u1edbn v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.\u00a0Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu\u00a0c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn El Nino. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, El Nino c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c tr\u1ea3i qua nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u00ean trung b\u00ecnh trong El Nino” –\u00a0 nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc kh\u00ed h\u1eadu Michelle L’Heureux c\u1ee7a NOAA, cho bi\u1ebft.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, Australia c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o El Nino s\u1ebd mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n, kh\u00f4 h\u01a1n \u1edf \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ec5 x\u1ea3y ra ch\u00e1y r\u1eebng d\u1eef d\u1ed9i. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3,\u00a0Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n\u00a0th\u00f4ng tin, El Nino \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n \u1ea5m nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft nh\u1eefng n\u0103m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec1u x\u1ea3y ra trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 El Nino. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc lo ng\u1ea1i m\u00f9a h\u00e8 n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 n\u0103m sau c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t li\u1ec1n v\u00e0 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

“Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ngh\u00e8o b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1edd v\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n, l\u0169 l\u1ee5t v\u00e0\u00a0b\u00e3o\u00a0do \u0111\u1ed1t nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 b\u00e2y gi\u1edd h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng cao c\u1ee7a hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng El Nino. H\u1ecd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu trong khi l\u00e0 nh\u01b0ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n \u00edt nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y” – Mariana Paoli c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 quan c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3 Christian Aid l\u01b0u \u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i c\u1ea3 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD v\u00ec El Nino<\/b><\/span><\/h3>\n

M\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Dartmouth (M\u1ef9) cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a El Nino g\u00e2y n\u00ean s\u1ef1 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia. Theo \u0111\u00f3, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m c\u1ee7a El Nino c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i trung b\u00ecnh l\u00ean t\u1edbi h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean t\u1ea1p ch\u00ed\u00a0Science\u00a0c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc thu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Dartmouth \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1edbi tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng v\u1ebft s\u1eb9o kinh t\u1ebf l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 r\u1eb1ng El Nino kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u cho bi\u1ebft El Nino trung b\u00ecnh g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kho\u1ea3ng 3.400 t\u1ef7 USD. Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 1997-1998, El Nino g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i l\u00ean t\u1edbi 5.700 t\u1ef7 USD. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau t\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 45 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a El Nino trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 84.000 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 21, ngay c\u1ea3 khi c\u00e1c cam k\u1ebft gi\u1ea3m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed th\u1ea3i carbon hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng l\u1edbn cho nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec1u thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u1edf g\u1ea7n hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y, th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, nh\u00f3m c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Dartmouth t\u00ednh to\u00e1n thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u01b0 d\u00e2n \u1edf Peru s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n 1.246 USD n\u0103m 2004 n\u1ebfu El Nino n\u0103m 1998 kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra.<\/span><\/p>\n

GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1edbi bao g\u1ed3m Ecuador, Brazil v\u00e0 Indonesia c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m trong kho\u1ea3ng 5-19% v\u00ec El Nino. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 3% trong t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng thu nh\u1eadp sau c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n El Nino v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u0103m 1982-1983 v\u00e0 1997-1998.<\/span><\/p>\n

(Ngu\u1ed3n: B\u00e1o Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Nino – d\u1eabn t\u1edbi nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t n\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ec3n n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u1edf trung t\u00e2m v\u00e0 ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea1o – \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1i C\u01a1 quan Kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 (NOAA) th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o. Ki\u1ec3u\u00a0th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft\u00a0n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":2177,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2174","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-truyen-thong-pho-bien-kien-thuc"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n: H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 g\u00ec ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc? - Ban Ch\u1ec9 huy ph\u00f2ng, ch\u1ed1ng thi\u00ean tai v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u1ee9u n\u1ea1n t\u1ec9nh Ti\u1ec1n Giang<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/phongchongthientaitiengiang.vn\/?p=2174\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Nino \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n: H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 g\u00ec ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc? - Ban Ch\u1ec9 huy ph\u00f2ng, ch\u1ed1ng thi\u00ean tai v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u1ee9u n\u1ea1n t\u1ec9nh Ti\u1ec1n Giang\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El Nino – d\u1eabn t\u1edbi nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t n\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ec3n n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u1edf trung t\u00e2m v\u00e0 ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea1o – \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1i C\u01a1 quan Kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 (NOAA) th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o. 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